August 2008 Archives

Found Futures: Talking with Stuart Candy

Stuart is a researcher at the Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies and a research fellow of the exceptionally farsighted Long Now Foundation. He's also a guerilla futurist who takes alternative futures to the streets.

Maui Poster
Image Credit: Matthew Jensen for FoundFutures

With mentor Jim Dator and co-conspirator Jake Dunagan, Stuart has unleashed a slew of artifacts and experiences from the future upon an unsuspecting public, including postcards from 02036 and plaques honoring those who suffered and died in the great pandemic of 02016.

As the sceptical futuryst explains, these exercises in ambient foresight and anticipatory democracy are intended to engage the public in creative thinking about possible and preferable futures.

By creating immersive experiences that provoke an emotional response and are difficult to ignore, futurists can elude the dryness that can be associated with the two-dimensional text and statistics of traditional scenario planning.

These experiments are also answers to a question at the heart of Stuart's research: how can we study human behavior in contexts that don't yet exist?

This question is clearly relevant to those of us in the design world as well. Our work requires both insight and foresight. Whether the design horizon is three months or five years, our deliverables bring imaginable futures to life.

And, as these examples illustrate...

...we also engage directly in the design of more provocative tangible futures.

Imaginable Futures
Image Credit: Design for Future Needs

These experiments in what Jason Tester calls Human-Future Interaction are just the beginning. One of Stuart Candy's hopes is to engage wider, more distributed audiences through simulations and gaming. Inspired by the success of World Without Oil, he's accepted a spot as game master of Superstruct. Whoever said being a futurist can't be fun?

Of course, futures thinking is hard work too. Towards the end of our conversation, Stuart noted that as Stumbling on Happiness makes clear, most of us are quite terrible at looking forward. We make basic and consistent mistakes. And, we retrospectively edit our imagined futures, quietly building our false memories and false confidence.

But, despite our inability to predict how we'll feel after eating a burrito, Stuart intends to continue searching the future, and engaging us in the process with surprising experiences and shocking artifacts. So be prepared and stay alert.

You never know what might happen next.

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Bay Area Walks & Talks

In September, I'm headed to San Jose for KMWorld & Intranets. I'd love to line up a few more talks in the San Francisco Bay Area. In the past, I've had great experiences speaking at eBay, Google, Wells Fargo, and Yahoo! about information architecture, ambient findability, user experience, and the future of search. So, if you're interested in a workshop or short talk, please let me know.

Point Reyes

I'm also hoping to escape into the natural beauty of Point Reyes. Any suggestions for a great half-day to full-day hike? Thanks!

Strange Connections

My friend Noriyo Asano sent me a good-luck charm from the Senso-ji temple to keep me safe while bike riding. Thanks Noriyo!

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